Future Of Manual Gearboxes: Sharp Decline In New Car Options
A recent study conducted by CarGurus, a prominent automotive marketplace in the U.K., has unveiled a significant reduction in the availability of new car models equipped with manual transmissions. This analysis shows a dramatic 55% decrease over the past six years, dropping from 197 models in 2016 to just 89 in 2024. The trend towards fewer manual gearbox options became evident after 2018, witnessing an 18% fall in their availability since that year. This shift suggests that manual transmissions might vanish by 2029, leaving only a handful of niche models.
Several leading manufacturers, including Volvo, Mercedes, Jaguar, and Lexus, have ceased offering new models with manual transmissions altogether. Among the U.K.'s top brands, Jeep, Land Rover, MINI, and Honda now present merely one manual option within their entire range. Conversely, Volkswagen leads the pack by providing ten new models with manual gearboxes, followed by Ford and Hyundai, each offering six.
This decline parallels an increase in U.K. drivers opting for automatic-only driving tests. Data from the DVSA indicates a 269% surge in automatic-only test takers between the 2012/2013 and 2022/2023 periods. Despite this trend, CarGurus' analysis suggests potential savings for buyers opting for used manual models, with an average saving of £3,466 compared to their automatic counterparts.
Chris Knapman, Editorial Director at CarGurus U.K., remarked on the situation. He acknowledged the efficiency and responsiveness of modern automatics but emphasized that manual gearboxes still resonate with enthusiast drivers. Knapman also highlighted the financial advantage of choosing a manual car, noting that used manual models are typically less expensive than automatic ones.
CarGurus has compiled a list of the best new cars available with manual transmissions across various budgets, body types, and brands. This selection includes the Kia Picanto, Seat Ibiza, Ford Puma, Honda Civic Type R, Skoda Karoq, Skoda Octavia Estate, Dacia Jogger, Mazda MX-5, and Ford Ranger.
The findings from CarGurus shed light on the rapidly changing landscape of car transmissions in the U.K., marking a significant shift away from manual gearboxes. While the future may see a further decline in their availability, manuals remain a cost-effective and cherished option for many driving enthusiasts.


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